Global Ratings
Compare clubs across leagues and national teams in their own international rankings. Explore attack and defence, and track movement in the global rankings.
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AVERAGE RATINGS
League Strength Comparison
Fixture Predictions
About these predictions
Explore fixture forecasts and completed results with the Ninety Index. Upcoming matches show forecast mean goals; completed matches show the final score, with a separate forecast where available. Win, draw and loss percentages describe the outcome over 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Browse rounds or select a club to narrow the list.
Mean goals are forecast averages. The percentages give each outcome’s chance of happening.
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Match Predictor
Choose two clubs or international teams from the global rankings and explore their match forecast from the Ninety Index.
Forecasts cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time and reflect the published update. How the predictor works →
MATCH SETTINGS
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ABOUT THE MODEL
Ninety Index
Understand team strength, assess season performance and explore match forecasts.
Why underlying performance matters
Football results reflect both team quality and randomness. Fine margins can decide a match, so the points earned may not fully reflect how well a team played. Over the longer term, underlying performance is more predictive of future results than points alone.
Our approach to prediction
The Ninety Index is built on evidence about which aspects of performance indicate team strength. It applies those findings to detailed data from thousands of matches, using advanced statistical techniques within a proprietary methodology. Non-penalty expected goals (NPxG), which measures chance quality from shots other than penalties, is just one of several inputs.
Explore the ratings and forecasts
Strength Index
Assess the balance of strength within a league. Compare each team’s attack and defence, then use earlier snapshots to see how the picture has changed.
Season Performance
Explore underlying performance across the season through overall, attacking and defensive levels. The Season level gives a fuller picture than expected points (xPts) alone.
Projections
Explore each team’s outlook for the full season. Compare projected points totals and the range of possible outcomes as the remaining fixtures unfold.
Match Predictions
Explore a matchup between two clubs or two international teams. Compare forecast goals and the chances of each result, then try another pairing to see how the outlook changes.
Reading a forecast
Goal forecasts vary by team and matchup. For example, a forecast of 1.6 goals means that team would average 1.6 goals if the same match were played many times. A 60% win probability means a win is favoured, while the draw and defeat together account for the remaining 40%.
The last-update time shows when the published figures were updated. Use the snapshot selector to explore earlier ratings, and the guide above each table for more detail on its measures.
About the creator
The Ninety Index was created by Dr Matthew Rand, a behavioural scientist with broad experience across academic research and industry. The project brings together his research expertise and interest in football to better understand team performance and predict match outcomes.
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Sharing and reusing Ninety Index content.
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Club and competition names, badges and other third-party material remain subject to their owners’ rights. Their appearance on this site does not imply affiliation or endorsement, and these terms do not grant permission to reuse them.